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Team Lead, Demand Forecasting
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Job Post Details
Team Lead, Demand Forecasting - job post
Job details
Pay
- £61,923 a year
Job type
- Fixed term contract
- Temporary
- Part-time
- Full-time
Location
Benefits
Pulled from the full job description
- Annual leave
- Company pension
Full job description
Details
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Fixed term
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Business Management and Improvement
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Operational Research
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Contents
- Location
- About the job
- Benefits
- Things you need to know
- Apply and further information
Location
About the job
Job summary
This is a very exciting time to be joining HM Land Registry (HMLR) to ensure the organisation has the best understanding of future demand for its services and associated revenue, as well as the uncertainty and risks in these areas, supporting HMLRs continuous improvement in data-driven decision-making.
As the Team Lead, Demand Forecasting, you will be applying your strong analytical leadership skills to lead a team delivering business-critical forecasting models and analysis used across the whole organisation and in wider government.
You will work effectively with leadership at all levels of the organisation, leveraging your teams skillset appropriately to deliver projects that improve the forecasts and outputs, working with stakeholders to scope analytical requirements, engaging with subject matter experts to understand data, and act as an analytical expert, ensuring your teams delivered analysis is high-quality and fit for purpose.
This is a fantastic opportunity to apply leadership to support the ongoing development of a robust forecasting and analysis function in an organisation which is keen to improve its use of data to drive continuous improvement.
This role offers extensive opportunities for professional growth and skills enhancement, with access to continuous learning and development, in both technical and soft skills, and considerable opportunities to apply learning and to develop leadership and strategic skills through exposure to high profile work and senior leaders.
Job description
Within your role, you will engage with other G7 analytical team leads across the group, applying your problem structuring and modelling expertise to ensure assumptions, data, and processes are aligned across wider modelling teams, whilst sharing knowledge and peer review between teams.
You will also communicate analytical outputs with impact, ensuring they are well understood by senior stakeholders in order to optimise the use and impact of your team's analysis, providing robust evidence to influence strategic decision-making.
You will have the autonomy to lead and take ownership of the development and delivery of your projects, and your efforts and achievements will be recognised. The organisation values and acknowledges the hard work and dedication of its employees, ensuring that your contributions do not go unnoticed.
Supported by highly engaged leaders, you will work in a dynamic and collaborative environment with a welcoming and inclusive team, and with wider cross-functional teams and the analytical community. These supportive networks will enhance your ability to deliver high-quality products.
This is a high-profile role, where stakeholders will depend on you to deliver a wide variety of well thought out analysis at pace, to support evidence-based decision making in HMLR.
For more information about the role and main duties, please see the attached Job Description.
Person specification
To be successful in this role it is essential you will have:
- A proven track record of presenting evidence and communicating complex analysis with impact to support decision-making at senior leadership level.
- Experience of line management and ensuring analytical quality assurance under time and resource pressure is essential.
- Ability to prioritise multiple work strands and manage projects effectively, whilst managing stakeholder expectations.
- Strong experience of statistical analysis, model development and forecasting.
- Strong experience of coding (one or more of: SQL, R, Python), and of data extraction and processing.
- Strong experience of a range of analytical and problem-solving techniques.
- Evidence of at least one high profile analytical project you have managed.
- GORS/GES/GSS or GDS skills, qualifications, knowledge and behaviours to allow badging at G7
We welcome applications from people who are already within the GORS, GES, GSS or GDS community.
For more information, please see the attached Job Description.
Visa Sponsorship
Please note that we will only offer sponsorship for a skilled worker visa where a role is in a certain business critical category. This role does not meet that category, and we will not sponsor a skilled worker visa.
You must ensure you have the appropriate right to work in the UK before applying.
Behaviours
We'll assess you against these behaviours during the selection process:
- Seeing the Big Picture
- Leadership
- Delivering at Pace
- Developing Self and Others
Technical skills
We'll assess you against these technical skills during the selection process:
- GORS/GES/GSS or GDS skills, qualifications, knowledge and behaviours to allow badging at G7
Benefits
#WeAreHMLR
At HM Land Registry our vision is a world leading property market as part of a thriving economy and a sustainable future. We are unique in terms of the economic and social impacts of our work, our ability to make a positive difference to the lives of our customers, our sense of mission, and our great people. They are the foundation of all we have achieved and all we aspire to in the future. We want our people to feel proud to work for HM Land Registry and able to fulfil their full potential.
We have a strong and positive culture, a commitment to inclusivity, an emphasis on continuous learning and development, and flexible ways of working. We offer competitive pay and annual leave, attractive pension options and a wide range of other benefits.
- We have integrity we value honesty, trust and doing the right thing in the right way.
- We drive innovation we are forward-thinking, embrace change and are continually improving our processes.
- We are professional we value and grow our knowledge and professional expertise.
- We give assurance we guarantee our services and provide confidence to the property market.
The HMLR Way Our Shared Commitment
What you can expect from HMLR:
Inclusive & Empowering: A positive, healthy environment where everyone feels valued and empowered to contribute
High Performance: Access to tools, resources, and development opportunities within a supportive culture
Value & Recognition: We value team and individual improvement, learning from setbacks as much as celebrating success
Clarity & Transparency: Clear communication of our vision and priorities, so our direction and decisions are evident
You can find more information on our rewards package on our website.
Things you need to know
Artificial intelligence
Selection process details
Please complete your CV to include your work history and any current professional badging. Please ensure you provide full details of your educational qualifications and grades, as these will be used to assess against entry requirements to professional badging.
We will be scoring your CV against this and the essential experience criteria:
- Proven track record of presenting evidence and communicating complex analysis with impact to support decision-making at senior leadership level.
- Experience of line management.
- Ability to prioritise multiple work strands and manage projects effectively, while managing stakeholder expectations.
- Experience of ensuring analytical quality assurance under time and resource pressure.
You will then be asked to complete a 250-word box to demonstrate how you meet the following essential technical criteria:
- Strong experience of statistical analysis, model development and forecasting.
- Strong experience of coding (one or more of: SQL, R, Python), and of data extraction and processing.
- Strong experience of a range of analytical and problem-solving techniques.
- Evidence of at least one high profile analytical project you have managed.
Finally, you will be asked to complete the Personal Statement section in up to 500 words how you meet the essential experience criteria listed in the attached Job Description, and what development would you hope to gain from the role.
In the event of a high volume of applications for this vacancy, the CV and essential technical criteria may be used as the lead sift criteria.
Please review your application form before clicking submit once you have submitted, you will not be able to amend your application. Ensure your application form is received by the closing date for receipt of applications this is 23:55pm on the advertised date.
The sift will take place shortly after the closing date. If successful at the shortlisting stage, you will be invited to attend a virtual blended interview which will include a pre-prepared presentation w/c Monday 20 July or w/c Monday 27 July 2026.
The blended interview will test the technical skills, experience and behaviours listed in the attached job description.
Candidates may refer to notes within their video interview, but they should be used as a prompt only.
You should ensure you read the attached Job Description fully before submitting an application.
Where an individual taking up the responsibility will be based in Swansea Office, the ability to speak Welsh is desirable. This will not be tested in the application or interview process.
HMLR is accredited to the Disability Confident Scheme (DCS), which denotes organisations which have a positive attitude towards disabled people.
If you require the panel to consider a reasonable adjustment or there is anything else, they would like the panel to take into consideration please notify us of this at application stage where possible or during the process as soon as it becomes a requirement.
If you would like further information about the use of your personal data, please click on the link below:
Job Applicant Personal Information
Feedback will only be provided if you attend an interview or assessment.
Security
Nationality requirements
This job is broadly open to the following groups:
- UK nationals
- nationals of the Republic of Ireland
- nationals of Commonwealth countries who have the right to work in the UK
- nationals of the EU, Switzerland, Norway, Iceland or Liechtenstein and family members of those nationalities with settled or pre-settled status under the European Union Settlement Scheme (EUSS)
- nationals of the EU, Switzerland, Norway, Iceland or Liechtenstein and family members of those nationalities who have made a valid application for settled or pre-settled status under the European Union Settlement Scheme (EUSS)
- individuals with limited leave to remain or indefinite leave to remain who were eligible to apply for EUSS on or before 31 December 2020
- Turkish nationals, and certain family members of Turkish nationals, who have accrued the right to work in the Civil Service
Working for the Civil Service
We recruit by merit on the basis of fair and open competition, as outlined in the Civil Service Commission's recruitment principles .
Diversity and Inclusion
Apply and further information
Contact point for applicants
Job contact :
- Name : Kelly Magee
- Email : kelly.magee@landregistry.gov.uk
Recruitment team
- Email : hrresourcingteam2@landregistry.gov.uk